Datasets:
id stringlengths 24 24 | prompt stringlengths 296 734 | end_time stringdate 2026-08-19 08:05:00+0800 2026-08-25 23:59:59+0800 | level int64 1 4 | en_title stringlengths 40 170 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
a430f7920c8a544f428a57b1 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Keysight fiscal Q3 2026: what exact revenue will it report? (resolved around 2026-08-19T08:05:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return only the exact published numeric value for revenue_usd_millions. Do not include units.
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST... | 2026-08-19T08:05:00+08:00 | 4 | Keysight fiscal Q3 2026: what exact revenue will it report? |
012048cebd3b41f2a9e10fc3 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Armand Duplantis clear 6.20m at the 2026 Athletissima men's pole vault? (resolved around 2026-08-21T05:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing... | 2026-08-21T05:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will Armand Duplantis clear 6.20m at the 2026 Athletissima men's pole vault? |
1a7b455ee6b6976885a464e6 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Analog Devices report fiscal Q3 2026 adjusted diluted EPS of at least US$3.00? (resolved around 2026-08-19T20:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with exactly \boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}.
Do not use any other format... | 2026-08-19T20:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will Analog Devices report fiscal Q3 2026 adjusted diluted EPS of at least US$3.00? |
a9ae2f366d8b24b223369688 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "NHSBSA diabetes prescribing statistics: how many diabetes-treatment items will be reported for England in 2025/26? (resolved around 2026-08-20T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return only the exact published numeric value for dispensed_items. Do not... | 2026-08-20T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | NHSBSA diabetes prescribing statistics: how many diabetes-treatment items will be reported for England in 2025/26? |
f50d8202120ac657b4e625ab | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In NOAA CPC's September 2026 temperature outlook issued on 20 August, which category will be assigned to New Mexico? (resolved around 2026-08-21T00:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be below normal
B. the outcome be equal chances
C. the out... | 2026-08-21T00:00:00+08:00 | 1 | In NOAA CPC's September 2026 temperature outlook issued on 20 August, which category will be assigned to New Mexico? |
719f702dc4625f8494ddb22d | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "UK July 2026 CPI: what will the ONS publish as the 12-month CPI rate? (resolved around 2026-08-19T14:05:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 2.4% or lower
B. the outcome be 2.5% to 2.8%
C. the outcome be 2.9% to 3.2%
D. the outcome be 3.3% or ... | 2026-08-19T14:05:00+08:00 | 2 | UK July 2026 CPI: what will the ONS publish as the 12-month CPI rate? |
d205c78fa5178eabd21da3a6 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Braves vs Twins: what exact total number of runs will be scored? (resolved around 2026-08-21T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return only the exact published numeric value for total_runs. Do not include units.
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end ... | 2026-08-21T12:00:00+08:00 | 4 | Braves vs Twins: what exact total number of runs will be scored? |
69b96e77257943c8174dab10 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Analog Devices fiscal Q3 2026: what exact revenue will it report? (resolved around 2026-08-19T20:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return only the exact published numeric value for revenue_usd_millions. Do not include units.
IMPORTANT: Your final answe... | 2026-08-19T20:00:00+08:00 | 4 | Analog Devices fiscal Q3 2026: what exact revenue will it report? |
abb39554e29e3efd959c3011 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which England regions will have a high all-ages mortality signal? (resolved around 2026-08-20T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return only the requested entity set for regions_with_high_all_ages_signal. List qualifying official region names alphabet... | 2026-08-20T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | Which England regions will have a high all-ages mortality signal? |
c6296fc87064c823a9ddba11 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "South Africa July 2026 CPI: what exact year-on-year headline consumer inflation rate will be reported? (resolved around 2026-08-19T16:05:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return only the exact published numeric value for headline_cpi_yoy_percent. Do not in... | 2026-08-19T16:05:00+08:00 | 4 | South Africa July 2026 CPI: what exact year-on-year headline consumer inflation rate will be reported? |
19c069049ca42900bfce4f40 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many combined runs will be scored in Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs on 2026-08-19 (U.S. Eastern date)? (resolved around 2026-08-21T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDI... | 2026-08-21T12:00:00+08:00 | 3 | How many combined runs will be scored in Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs on 2026-08-19 (U.S. Eastern date)? |
a7e85c8f85d8cdce52d1c877 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "WHO Weekly Epidemiological Record: how many Disease Outbreak News items will the reporting-week issue contain? (resolved around 2026-08-21T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return only the exact published numeric value for disease_outbreak_news_count... | 2026-08-21T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | WHO Weekly Epidemiological Record: how many Disease Outbreak News items will the reporting-week issue contain? |
7aabd77d0a67d72478370cb4 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Euro area July 2026 HICP: what exact final annual all-items inflation rate will Eurostat report? (resolved around 2026-08-19T17:05:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return only the exact published numeric value for euro_area_hicp_annual_rate_percent. Do no... | 2026-08-19T17:05:00+08:00 | 3 | Euro area July 2026 HICP: what exact final annual all-items inflation rate will Eurostat report? |
07294845bd8420b435a66c71 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many combined runs will be scored in Detroit Tigers at Pittsburgh Pirates on 2026-08-19 (U.S. Eastern date)? (resolved around 2026-08-21T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PR... | 2026-08-21T12:00:00+08:00 | 3 | How many combined runs will be scored in Detroit Tigers at Pittsburgh Pirates on 2026-08-19 (U.S. Eastern date)? |
572e1034670e6852475886b6 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will BILL report fiscal Q4 2026 non-GAAP diluted EPS of at least US$0.50? (resolved around 2026-08-20T08:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with exactly \boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}.
Do not use any other format. | 2026-08-20T08:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will BILL report fiscal Q4 2026 non-GAAP diluted EPS of at least US$0.50? |
85b976d288bc63c8dae32cf9 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "WHO Weekly Epidemiological Record: how many new events verified through Public Health Intelligence will the reporting-week issue report? (resolved around 2026-08-21T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return only the exact published numeric value for v... | 2026-08-21T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | WHO Weekly Epidemiological Record: how many new events verified through Public Health Intelligence will the reporting-week issue report? |
003fed127c048a48efb48b19 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Target fiscal Q2 2026: what exact total revenue will it report? (resolved around 2026-08-19T20:05:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return only the exact published numeric value for total_revenues_usd_millions. Do not include units.
IMPORTANT: Your final ... | 2026-08-19T20:05:00+08:00 | 4 | Target fiscal Q2 2026: what exact total revenue will it report? |
efd0339ee87ce7b4785deb8f | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many home runs will be hit by both teams combined in Arizona Diamondbacks at Boston Red Sox on 2026-08-19 (U.S. Eastern date)? (resolved around 2026-08-21T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact form... | 2026-08-21T12:00:00+08:00 | 3 | How many home runs will be hit by both teams combined in Arizona Diamondbacks at Boston Red Sox on 2026-08-19 (U.S. Eastern date)? |
66db24d107a61788327af82d | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will BILL report fiscal Q4 2026 total revenue of at least US$400 million? (resolved around 2026-08-20T08:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with exactly \boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}.
Do not use any other format. | 2026-08-20T08:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will BILL report fiscal Q4 2026 total revenue of at least US$400 million? |
84ee28338639a7dd1232b6eb | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In WHO's Global Respiratory Virus Activity weekly update published during 19-25 August 2026, what global SARS-CoV-2 activity category will be reported? (resolved around 2026-08-19T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be low
B. the outcome b... | 2026-08-19T23:59:59+08:00 | 1 | In WHO's Global Respiratory Virus Activity weekly update published during 19-25 August 2026, what global SARS-CoV-2 activity category will be reported? |
764f9b3d38b3d86e54561777 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Toll Brothers fiscal Q3 2026: what exact home-sales revenue will it report? (resolved around 2026-08-19T20:35:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return only the exact published numeric value for home_sales_revenue_usd_thousands. Do not include units.
IMPOR... | 2026-08-19T20:35:00+08:00 | 3 | Toll Brothers fiscal Q3 2026: what exact home-sales revenue will it report? |
e6754e16e44c82e6a16fbe62 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Shohei Ohtani hit at least one home run in Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies on 2026-08-19 (U.S. Eastern date)? (resolved around 2026-08-21T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with exactly \boxed{Yes} or ... | 2026-08-21T12:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will Shohei Ohtani hit at least one home run in Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies on 2026-08-19 (U.S. Eastern date)? |
1b6d76e521fadceac3de589b | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "BLS Summer Youth Labor Force release: what exact unemployment rate will it report for ages 16–19? (resolved around 2026-08-20T23:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return only the exact published numeric value for age_16_19_unemployment_rate_percent. Do ... | 2026-08-20T23:00:00+08:00 | 4 | BLS Summer Youth Labor Force release: what exact unemployment rate will it report for ages 16–19? |
4c4a0dc259f3ff7cc750b9dc | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Northern Ireland's Sodium Valproate and Topiramate Monitoring Report: how many patients will it report as prescribed sodium valproate? (resolved around 2026-08-20T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return only the exact published numeric value for sod... | 2026-08-20T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | Northern Ireland's Sodium Valproate and Topiramate Monitoring Report: how many patients will it report as prescribed sodium valproate? |
9720a5c7ae5550ec91e5c758 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "July 28–29 FOMC minutes: how many case-insensitive occurrences of the exact word “tariff” will appear in the Federal Reserve's HTML minutes body? (resolved around 2026-08-20T02:10:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 0 to 4 occurrences
B. the ... | 2026-08-20T02:10:00+08:00 | 2 | July 28–29 FOMC minutes: how many case-insensitive occurrences of the exact word “tariff” will appear in the Federal Reserve's HTML minutes body? |
2dc80caba5b812460d0441c9 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will the Census Bureau's Q2 2026 Advance Services Report show advance U.S. selected-services revenue higher than the preceding quarter? (resolved around 2026-08-20T23:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be higher
B. the outcome be lower or un... | 2026-08-20T23:00:00+08:00 | 2 | Will the Census Bureau's Q2 2026 Advance Services Report show advance U.S. selected-services revenue higher than the preceding quarter? |
34aba12b8ebc93c15ab58c6f | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many patients will Northern Ireland's 20 August 2026 Sodium Valproate and Topiramate Monitoring Report record as prescribed topiramate? (resolved around 2026-08-20T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be under 2,000
B. the outcome be 2,... | 2026-08-20T23:59:59+08:00 | 2 | How many patients will Northern Ireland's 20 August 2026 Sodium Valproate and Topiramate Monitoring Report record as prescribed topiramate? |
8e337eaca321f8c7754597e3 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Japan July 2026 trade statistics: what exact provisional goods trade balance will be reported? (resolved around 2026-08-20T07:55:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return only the exact published numeric value for trade_balance_yen_millions. Do not include ... | 2026-08-20T07:55:00+08:00 | 4 | Japan July 2026 trade statistics: what exact provisional goods trade balance will be reported? |
139170d8a10c090abb9ff4ec | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In NHSBSA's 20 August 2026 Prescribing for Diabetes release, which treatment type will have the most prescription items in England in 2025/26? (resolved around 2026-08-20T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be antidiabetic drugs
B. the out... | 2026-08-20T23:59:59+08:00 | 1 | In NHSBSA's 20 August 2026 Prescribing for Diabetes release, which treatment type will have the most prescription items in England in 2025/26? |
4061e3ea96652f76eef8d31a | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Hernandez vs Rodrigues: which official winning method will UFC report? (resolved around 2026-08-23T14:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly one official UFC result category: KO/TKO, Submission, Decision, Draw, or No Contest.
IMPORTANT: Your ... | 2026-08-23T14:00:00+08:00 | 3 | Hernandez vs Rodrigues: which official winning method will UFC report? |
08a5651971a145645609873e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which NRL Round 25 fixtures will be decided by 13 or more points? (resolved around 2026-08-23T19:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return only the requested entity set for fixtures_with_margin_at_least_13. List qualifying official fixture names by sched... | 2026-08-23T19:00:00+08:00 | 4 | Which NRL Round 25 fixtures will be decided by 13 or more points? |
f3aa82b164c853a78b89488d | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Walmart FY2027 Q2: what exact total revenue will it report? (resolved around 2026-08-20T19:05:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return only the exact published numeric value for total_revenues_usd_millions. Do not include units.
IMPORTANT: Your final answ... | 2026-08-20T19:05:00+08:00 | 4 | Walmart FY2027 Q2: what exact total revenue will it report? |
84c402dc9117be094b9ba79c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will win the 2026 Formula 1 Dutch Grand Prix? (resolved around 2026-08-23T23:30:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Max Verstappen
B. the outcome be Lando Norris
C. the outcome be Oscar Piastri
D. the outcome be Other driver"
IMPORTANT: Y... | 2026-08-23T23:30:00+08:00 | 1 | Who will win the 2026 Formula 1 Dutch Grand Prix? |
34af3f2959198cb9b2ed5aa6 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "NetEase Q2 2026: what exact consolidated net revenue will it report? (resolved around 2026-08-20T20:05:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return only the exact published numeric value for net_revenues_rmb_millions. Do not include units.
IMPORTANT: Your fin... | 2026-08-20T20:05:00+08:00 | 4 | NetEase Q2 2026: what exact consolidated net revenue will it report? |
25cd695a325d2ab9b3474844 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which AFL Round 24 fixtures will be decided by 12 points or fewer? (resolved around 2026-08-23T23:59:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return only the requested entity set for fixtures_with_margin_at_most_12. List qualifying official fixture names by sched... | 2026-08-23T23:59:00+08:00 | 4 | Which AFL Round 24 fixtures will be decided by 12 points or fewer? |
dda4a55c9d3c092c5ac4aac2 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will SpaceX deploy all 29 planned Starlink satellites from its 20 August 2026 Cape Canaveral mission by 21 August 2026 12:00 GMT+8? (resolved around 2026-08-21T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with exactly \boxed... | 2026-08-21T12:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will SpaceX deploy all 29 planned Starlink satellites from its 20 August 2026 Cape Canaveral mission by 21 August 2026 12:00 GMT+8? |
4807adb8d7d4f32844224360 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In Public Health Scotland's 25 August 2026 care-at-home-services release, how many people will be reported as waiting for a social-care assessment? (resolved around 2026-08-25T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be under 2,000
B. the outco... | 2026-08-25T23:59:59+08:00 | 2 | In Public Health Scotland's 25 August 2026 care-at-home-services release, how many people will be reported as waiting for a social-care assessment? |
6638084379805b37d909f28e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will win the NASCAR Cup Series race at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on 2026-08-23? (resolved around 2026-08-24T10:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any o... | 2026-08-24T10:00:00+08:00 | 3 | Who will win the NASCAR Cup Series race at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on 2026-08-23? |
144fb0fd2eca78f979d737d4 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will the exact phrase “artificial intelligence” appear at least once in the published HTML article body of the FOMC minutes released on 20 August 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-20T03:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome b... | 2026-08-20T03:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will the exact phrase “artificial intelligence” appear at least once in the published HTML article body of the FOMC minutes released on 20 August 2026? |
bbccd856afeae3c7d4e4db6e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will SpaceX deploy all 24 planned Starlink satellites from its 19 August 2026 Vandenberg mission by 20 August 2026 12:00 GMT+8? (resolved around 2026-08-20T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with exactly \boxed{Yes... | 2026-08-20T12:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will SpaceX deploy all 24 planned Starlink satellites from its 19 August 2026 Vandenberg mission by 20 August 2026 12:00 GMT+8? |
ae329a762f2b2a7c85f0ede2 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will win the 2026 BMW Championship on the PGA TOUR? (resolved around 2026-08-24T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. | 2026-08-24T12:00:00+08:00 | 3 | Who will win the 2026 BMW Championship on the PGA TOUR? |
8983ab2780ad2aae22d93948 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will win the 2026 CPKC Women's Open? (resolved around 2026-08-24T13:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Jeeno Thitikul
B. the outcome be Nelly Korda
C. the outcome be Brooke Henderson
D. the outcome be Other player"
IMPORTANT: Your fin... | 2026-08-24T13:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Who will win the 2026 CPKC Women's Open? |
52a95f6dcdcfc2a4c8e1b19e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Great Britain July 2026 retail sales: what exact month-on-month change in seasonally adjusted sales volume will be reported? (resolved around 2026-08-21T14:05:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return only the exact published numeric value for sales_volume_... | 2026-08-21T14:05:00+08:00 | 4 | Great Britain July 2026 retail sales: what exact month-on-month change in seasonally adjusted sales volume will be reported? |
9c7a78c46ec458374fcda6d0 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many games will the Golden State Valkyries win on 19, 21, and 24 August 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-25T13:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return only the exact published numeric value for valkyries_win_count. Do not include units.
IMPORTANT: Y... | 2026-08-25T13:00:00+08:00 | 4 | How many games will the Golden State Valkyries win on 19, 21, and 24 August 2026? |
eadaa954345ad98469c93ea1 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will a Canadian pair reach the semifinals of the 2026 Beach Pro Tour Elite16 Montréal? (resolved around 2026-08-24T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact forma... | 2026-08-24T12:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will a Canadian pair reach the semifinals of the 2026 Beach Pro Tour Elite16 Montréal? |
fe18163f968fd6da367ba6fe | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Among Insidious: Out of the Further, Mutiny, and Spa Weekend, which title will have the highest domestic gross in Box Office Mojo's 2026W34 weekend table? (resolved around 2026-08-25T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Insidious: Out of... | 2026-08-25T23:59:59+08:00 | 1 | Among Insidious: Out of the Further, Mutiny, and Spa Weekend, which title will have the highest domestic gross in Box Office Mojo's 2026W34 weekend table? |
8a2fa08cd60b19e2c521d009 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Federal Reserve H.10: what will the 21 August 2026 U.S.-dollar-per-euro daily reference rate be? (resolved around 2026-08-25T04:20:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be below US$1.1400 per euro
B. the outcome be US$1.1400 to below US$1.1550 per... | 2026-08-25T04:20:00+08:00 | 2 | Federal Reserve H.10: what will the 21 August 2026 U.S.-dollar-per-euro daily reference rate be? |
e9360305fd19d228d9ae58d0 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "US July 2026 new-home sales: at what seasonally adjusted annual rate will sales be reported? (resolved around 2026-08-25T22:05:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be below 600,000 SAAR
B. the outcome be 600,000 to 649,999 SAAR
C. the outcome be ... | 2026-08-25T22:05:00+08:00 | 2 | US July 2026 new-home sales: at what seasonally adjusted annual rate will sales be reported? |
927e102d4b76700141eb8f7b | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In Public Health Scotland's 25 August 2026 diagnostic-waiting-times release, what share of patients will have waited six weeks or less for the eight key diagnostic tests? (resolved around 2026-08-25T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be u... | 2026-08-25T23:59:59+08:00 | 2 | In Public Health Scotland's 25 August 2026 diagnostic-waiting-times release, what share of patients will have waited six weeks or less for the eight key diagnostic tests? |
a9b1428d77304043acf2c0fe | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Bank Indonesia August 2026 decision: what exact BI-Rate will it set? (resolved around 2026-08-19T18:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return only the exact published numeric value for bi_rate_percent. Do not include units.
IMPORTANT: Your final answer ... | 2026-08-19T18:00:00+08:00 | 4 | Bank Indonesia August 2026 decision: what exact BI-Rate will it set? |
91756f047efbda8afb41313f | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Taiwan July 2026 export orders: what will the Ministry of Economic Affairs report as total orders in U.S. dollars? (resolved around 2026-08-20T16:05:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be below US$65 billion
B. the outcome be US$65 billion to be... | 2026-08-20T16:05:00+08:00 | 2 | Taiwan July 2026 export orders: what will the Ministry of Economic Affairs report as total orders in U.S. dollars? |
6cd82ab082733703eb68d2ab | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Canada June 2026 retail trade: what will Statistics Canada report as the month-on-month change in seasonally adjusted retail sales? (resolved around 2026-08-21T20:35:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be fall of 0.5% or more
B. the outcome be f... | 2026-08-21T20:35:00+08:00 | 2 | Canada June 2026 retail trade: what will Statistics Canada report as the month-on-month change in seasonally adjusted retail sales? |
3a4d47060dadab78a94ed8a6 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will lead the general classification after Stage 4 of La Vuelta 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-25T23:59:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Jonas Vingegaard
B. the outcome be João Almeida
C. the outcome be Juan Ayuso
D. the outcome be Oth... | 2026-08-25T23:59:00+08:00 | 2 | Who will lead the general classification after Stage 4 of La Vuelta 2026? |
014821acf4472bd7ce1535bb | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In Public Health Scotland's 25 August 2026 diagnostic-waiting-times release, what will be the national number of ongoing waits for the eight key diagnostic tests? (resolved around 2026-08-25T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be under 100... | 2026-08-25T23:59:59+08:00 | 2 | In Public Health Scotland's 25 August 2026 diagnostic-waiting-times release, what will be the national number of ongoing waits for the eight key diagnostic tests? |
d56a79c1cdb0c9a4c8474da8 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many 2026 Fringe First winners will The Scotsman announce in its 21 August batch? (resolved around 2026-08-21T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 0 to 3 winners
B. the outcome be 4 to 6 winners
C. the outcome be 7 to 9 winners
D. th... | 2026-08-21T23:59:59+08:00 | 2 | How many 2026 Fringe First winners will The Scotsman announce in its 21 August batch? |
29a4d5e4742b3676257502f7 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "U.S. July 2026 state employment report: what seasonally adjusted unemployment rate will BLS report for California? (resolved around 2026-08-21T22:05:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return only the exact published numeric value for california_rate_percent... | 2026-08-21T22:05:00+08:00 | 3 | U.S. July 2026 state employment report: what seasonally adjusted unemployment rate will BLS report for California? |
a3c045d8c116bc65bff5f67f | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "EIA weekly natural-gas storage: what exact Lower 48 net change will it report? (resolved around 2026-08-20T22:35:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return only the exact published numeric value for lower_48_total_net_change_bcf. Do not include units.
IMPOR... | 2026-08-20T22:35:00+08:00 | 4 | EIA weekly natural-gas storage: what exact Lower 48 net change will it report? |
d0be1929beb221dcaf3af189 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What range will the U.S. seasonally adjusted initial unemployment-claims figure fall into for the week ending 15 August 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-20T20:35:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be below 190,000
B. the outcome be 190,000 to 209... | 2026-08-20T20:35:00+08:00 | 2 | What range will the U.S. seasonally adjusted initial unemployment-claims figure fall into for the week ending 15 August 2026? |
9f299306013017dfc72828ba | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which range will S&P Global's flash U.S. Composite PMI print for August 2026 fall into? (resolved around 2026-08-21T21:50:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be below 50.0
B. the outcome be 50.0 to 52.9
C. the outcome be 53.0 to 55.9
D. the outc... | 2026-08-21T21:50:00+08:00 | 2 | Which range will S&P Global's flash U.S. Composite PMI print for August 2026 fall into? |
4b7e1ea0e904b4c1787232c3 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which country will win the 2026 FIBA U18 Asia Cup? (resolved around 2026-08-24T00:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. | 2026-08-24T00:00:00+08:00 | 3 | Which country will win the 2026 FIBA U18 Asia Cup? |
a75c01094f70bf1a90fb0d0c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many individual batting centuries will be recorded across England vs Pakistan, the first Test at Headingley? (resolved around 2026-08-24T05:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PR... | 2026-08-24T05:00:00+08:00 | 3 | How many individual batting centuries will be recorded across England vs Pakistan, the first Test at Headingley? |
f7cf8fe79f7d60eacab8b1be | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many total match points will Arsenal, Manchester City, and Liverpool earn in their opening Premier League fixtures? (resolved around 2026-08-24T04:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return only the exact published numeric value for total_match_points... | 2026-08-24T04:00:00+08:00 | 4 | How many total match points will Arsenal, Manchester City, and Liverpool earn in their opening Premier League fixtures? |
4cb7e6a0c1f1e3032e746b6e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which country will win the men's singles title at the 2026 BWF World Championships? (resolved around 2026-08-23T22:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any othe... | 2026-08-23T22:00:00+08:00 | 3 | Which country will win the men's singles title at the 2026 BWF World Championships? |
bbcecd0e6391fb6c50b150b3 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which party will receive the largest nationwide vote share in Kazakhstan's 23 August 2026 Kurultai election? (resolved around 2026-08-24T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Adilet
B. the outcome be Ak Zhol
C. the outcome be Auyl
D. the ... | 2026-08-24T12:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Which party will receive the largest nationwide vote share in Kazakhstan's 23 August 2026 Kurultai election? |
79e880b57dbaa4f15792c013 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which club will be first in the final 2026 Esports World Cup Club Championship ranking? (resolved around 2026-08-25T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8))."
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any ... | 2026-08-25T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | Which club will be first in the final 2026 Esports World Cup Club Championship ranking? |
483d5b693a98bcbf6224dbaf | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Google Pixel 11 be on shelves at the Google Store and retail partners on 20 August 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-20T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exac... | 2026-08-20T23:59:59+08:00 | 2 | Will Google Pixel 11 be on shelves at the Google Store and retail partners on 20 August 2026? |
017a3f6a3a716c202815d621 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which film will the San Sebastian International Film Festival announce as the 2026 Official Selection opening film? (resolved around 2026-08-19T20:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR... | 2026-08-19T20:00:00+08:00 | 3 | Which film will the San Sebastian International Film Festival announce as the 2026 Official Selection opening film? |
d3cd9dcfab5e8945da6e35d9 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Lowe's report fiscal Q2 2026 adjusted diluted EPS of at least US$4.00? (resolved around 2026-08-19T21:05:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes — adjusted diluted EPS is at least US$4.00
B. the outcome be No — adjusted diluted EPS is be... | 2026-08-19T21:05:00+08:00 | 1 | Will Lowe's report fiscal Q2 2026 adjusted diluted EPS of at least US$4.00? |
ce8260ef987f0355f6357064 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will China's one-year Loan Prime Rate remain 3.00% in the 20 August 2026 publication? (resolved around 2026-08-20T09:35:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes — the one-year LPR is 3.00%
B. the outcome be No — the one-year LPR is not 3.00%"
... | 2026-08-20T09:35:00+08:00 | 1 | Will China's one-year Loan Prime Rate remain 3.00% in the 20 August 2026 publication? |
daa01f398b170460adeea655 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Japan July 2026 CPI: which range will the national all-items index show year on year? (resolved around 2026-08-21T07:35:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 0.9% or lower
B. the outcome be 1.0% to 1.9%
C. the outcome be 2.0% to 2.9%
D. the out... | 2026-08-21T07:35:00+08:00 | 1 | Japan July 2026 CPI: which range will the national all-items index show year on year? |
b11e42d27b488554b12b4f97 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "UK July 2026 public sector finances: which range will ONS report for public sector net borrowing excluding public sector banks? (resolved around 2026-08-21T14:05:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below £2 billion
B. the outcome be £2 billio... | 2026-08-21T14:05:00+08:00 | 1 | UK July 2026 public sector finances: which range will ONS report for public sector net borrowing excluding public sector banks? |
d17c311fc07853ff6ea3246e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "At the 5:00 a.m. HST 19 August 2026 advisory, what intensity category will NOAA report for Tropical Cyclone Lala? (resolved around 2026-08-19T23:10:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be hurricane (64 knots or greater)
B. the outcome be tropical... | 2026-08-19T23:10:00+08:00 | 2 | At the 5:00 a.m. HST 19 August 2026 advisory, what intensity category will NOAA report for Tropical Cyclone Lala? |
fe0203bc19d36ca26c5d83d0 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Taiwan July 2026 labour-force survey: what exact seasonally adjusted unemployment rate will DGBAS report? (resolved around 2026-08-22T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return only the published numeric percentage, to the precision shown by DGBAS, wit... | 2026-08-22T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | Taiwan July 2026 labour-force survey: what exact seasonally adjusted unemployment rate will DGBAS report? |
6831612ba042c5a517f56587 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "USDA Crop Progress released 24 August 2026: what exact percentage of U.S. corn acreage will be rated good or excellent? (resolved around 2026-08-25T05:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return only the whole-number percentage for the combined U.S. corn c... | 2026-08-25T05:00:00+08:00 | 3 | USDA Crop Progress released 24 August 2026: what exact percentage of U.S. corn acreage will be rated good or excellent? |
599878813048ffa643be898f | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026 FEI Jumping World Championship individual final: which nation will the official result list for the gold medalist? (resolved around 2026-08-24T02:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the nation displayed for the individual gold medalist... | 2026-08-24T02:00:00+08:00 | 3 | 2026 FEI Jumping World Championship individual final: which nation will the official result list for the gold medalist? |
eb55bbb354bc2625f40f22ea | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "gamescom dev awards 2026: what exact number of the four project awards will the most-awarded project win? (resolved around 2026-08-25T02:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return only an integer from 1 through 4.
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end wi... | 2026-08-25T02:00:00+08:00 | 3 | gamescom dev awards 2026: what exact number of the four project awards will the most-awarded project win? |
a5c3d706a8c0cc77eaeec150 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Hong Kong's July 2026 CPI release: what exact year-on-year change will the Composite CPI report? (resolved around 2026-08-21T17:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not... | 2026-08-21T17:00:00+08:00 | 4 | Hong Kong's July 2026 CPI release: what exact year-on-year change will the Composite CPI report? |
65baf488193c873fe637f1c2 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Singapore's July 2026 consumer-price release: what exact MAS Core Inflation year-on-year rate will MAS and MTI publish? (resolved around 2026-08-24T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8))."
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{... | 2026-08-24T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | Singapore's July 2026 consumer-price release: what exact MAS Core Inflation year-on-year rate will MAS and MTI publish? |
e2d1950f04d1fee0d78d9ede | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Hungary's 25 August 2026 Monetary Council decision: what exact central-bank base rate will Magyar Nemzeti Bank set? (resolved around 2026-08-25T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8))."
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR... | 2026-08-25T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | Hungary's 25 August 2026 Monetary Council decision: what exact central-bank base rate will Magyar Nemzeti Bank set? |
1395ece0bf8a3855733cd965 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "HMRC's 21 August 2026 receipts release: what exact total HMRC cash receipts will it report for July 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-21T15:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTIO... | 2026-08-21T15:00:00+08:00 | 4 | HMRC's 21 August 2026 receipts release: what exact total HMRC cash receipts will it report for July 2026? |
Submission Guidelines — Weekly Prediction Challenge
We run a weekly real-time prediction challenge. This repository contains the latest events.
Weekly Rules
- This week's tasks cover events with an end time between
2026-08-19, 24:00and2026-08-25, 24:00(UTC+8). - Submit predictions before 2026-08-19, 24:00 (UTC+8).
- The leaderboard for this round will be updated by 2026-08-27, 24:00 (UTC+8).
Submission format
Submit JSON or JSONL with id and prediction. Keep the answer in the format requested by each question.
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