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World State Daily
Daily end-of-day world state snapshots from Kalshi + Polymarket. Each JSON file captures consensus probabilities across tens of thousands of prediction markets, the SF Index (disagreement, geo-risk, breadth, activity), top edges, divergences, and a markdown summary.
License and Use
This dataset is released under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC-BY-4.0; https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). You may use it freely for personal, research, educational, and commercial purposes — including training, evaluating, and fine-tuning machine-learning models. Attribution is required when the dataset is redistributed in substantially its original form or cited in published work; credit as "SimpleFunctions (simplefunctions.dev)".
Additional terms apply: you may not re-host this dataset, in whole or in substantial part, as an API or service that functionally substitutes for a SimpleFunctions endpoint. See Terms §13.2 at https://simplefunctions.dev/terms.
Provenance, update cadence, and schema are documented below.
Update cadence
Daily at 23:50 UTC.
Provenance
Source: https://simplefunctions.dev Generator: SimpleFunctions public data pipeline Contact: patrick@simplefunctions.dev
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